May 16, 2021

Covid-19: has France already crossed the threshold of 100,000 dead several weeks ago?


THE CHEKING PROCESS – Counting deaths due to Covid is not easy and the various state bodies do not necessarily achieve the same results.

THE QUESTION. We sometimes tend to take the figures for tangible realities even though they depend on the way of calculating them. By changing the method, the results change, the temperature and the thermometer do not merge. The sad milestone of 100,000 deaths, crossed this Thursday, is no exception. Wednesday, we were below, Friday beyond, as if this cut had a value in itself. If the symbol is there, the reality can be more complex.

According to demographer and epidemiologist Jean-Marie Robine, we have already crossed this threshold, without knowing it. In the newspaper The world , the emeritus research director at INSERM revealed figures that were higher than those given every day by Santé Publique France, the difference between the two not being slight since it would amount to 11,000 for the period of the 1st March to December 31, 2020. Conversely, INSEE data showed that the difference in mortality between 2020 and 2019 (+55,000) was lower than the number of deaths recorded over the same period by Public Health France (64,000). So what about? Was the 100,000 mark really crossed this Thursday? Which comes down to asking the question: how do we count the deaths of Covid?

CHECKS. The compass that guides the authorities, but also the media and citizens every day since the start of the epidemic, are the data published daily by Public Health France. It is in this case

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