June 1, 2023

The peak of the Omicron wave seems to have been reached, when will the decline occur?

DECRYPTION – The variant is still actively circulating in the country but has not caused a tidal wave in hospitals.

After a distressing end to 2021, the positive signals are adding up at the beginning of January. Contaminations certainly remain at stratospheric levels, exceeding 300,000 daily cases, but after a constant increase since mid-October (and particularly strong since mid-December), the rate has slowed down in recent days to land on a very high plateau. . The peak of cases therefore seems to have been reached.

An idea that is confirmed by reading the readings of viral traces in wastewater. A less precise indicator than PCR and antigen tests, but which gives an earlier insight into future trends. The latest readings from the Obépine network, which monitors more than 200 wastewater treatment plants on French territory, confirm a change in trend initiated in Île-de-France at the start of the month and show a reduction in viral circulation in most stations. . The rate of contamination should therefore very probably be reversed in the days to come.

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